Jets @ Dolphins
A pair of 0-3 AFC East rivals still in search of their first victory of the season meet, as the first matchup of a Monday night doubleheader. Only once in NFL history has a team started 0-4 and made the playoffs, the 1992 San Diego Chargers, and both squads will be eager to get off the snide tonight. The Jets will have Justin Fields back under center after he missed last week’s 29-27 loss to the Bucs due to a concussion. The Dolphins have looked downright awful at points, but their last loss to the Bills on TNF 31-21 was at least an improved display. Both teams are struggling on defense, the Jets are tied for 28th in scoring defense allowing 31 points per game while Miami has allowed more than 30 points in all 3 of its games so far and ranks last in scoring defense. Dolphins QB Tua Tagovailoa has had plenty of critics already this year as the Dolphins have managed just 18.7 points per game and Tua has been picked off 4 times in 89 attempts. Historically, the Dolphins have performed well against the Jets winning 14 of the past 18 meetings head to head. Because of that I like the Dolphins to cover the 2.5 point spread as favorites at home in this contest . I also like Malik Washington to have over 4.5 rushing yards as he has an attempt in each game and is averaging 8.7 yards per carry facing a Jets run defense that ranks 23rd in the NFL.
Best Bet: Dolphins -2.5 (-110)
Player Props: Malik Washington Over 4.5 Rushing Yds (-115)
Broncos @ Bengals
Both teams suffered losses last week with the Broncos falling to the Chargers and the Bengals getting blown out by Carson Wentz and the Vikings. The Bengals lost their franchise QB Joe Burrow to a toe injury in the middle of their week 2 game and Jake Browning has been the fill in QB. Browning has been a turnover machine since filling in for the Bengals, throwing 5 interceptions in just 7 quarters of action. Another concern for Zac Taylor and the Bengals is that they are averaging only 2.4 yards per carry so far this year with lead back Chase Brown getting hit behind the line of scrimmage on nearly 80% of his carries. The Broncos have lost on walk off field goals the past 2 weeks despite never trailing in the 4th quarter. Both teams the Broncos lost to, the Chargers and the Colts project to be playoff contenders so I’m not losing faith in Nix and a stingy Broncos defense. The Broncos have won 6 consecutive home games with the altitude at Mile High Stadium always giving the visiting teams issues. I like the Broncos to cover as 7.5 point favorites at home facing a turnover prone Browning who will struggle against one of the league’s best defensive secondaries. I also like Chase Brown to have under 55.5 rushing yards not only for the reasons above, but also with the Bengals going down early I expect them to abandon the run.

Leave a comment