Intro
Only 4 weeks left in the 2025 NFL regular season and week 15 provides another chapter of major storylines with playoff implications. The Baltimore Ravens are on the verge of elimination in a must win game against the Bengals as are the 6-7 Chiefs playing host to the Chargers. Josh Allen and the Bills have a chance for revenge after their loss to the Patriots in week 5 and would move to only a game behind the division leaders with a win. A win for Drake Maye and the Patriots would clinch the AFC East title and secure their postseason birth with 3 games remaining. Phillip Rivers makes a surprising return as he and the Colts are major underdogs against red hot Sam Darnold and the Seahawks. The Lions are still in a tight race for the wild-card spot and will travel to Los Angeles for a meeting with MVP leader Matthew Stafford and the Rams. Finally, the current 1 seed in the AFC the Denver Broncos, will faceoff with Jordan Love and the Green Bay Packers. An exciting slate of games this week and I’ll breakdown each of these matchups so that you can make the best bets this Sunday!
Bills @ Patriots
One of the biggest games of the day is headlined by Drake Maye and the 11-2 Patriots as they welcome Josh Allen and the 9-4 Bills to Foxborough. The Patriots can win their first AFC title since 2019 by taking down the Bills who have won each of the last 5 division titles. Maye has led New England on an impressive 10 game winning streak and is the current favorite to win the MVP this year. Josh Allen who is the reigning MVP, has the Bills offense humming ranking 2nd in the NFL in total offense with 383.7 ypg. RB James Cook has had a career year leading the league in attempts while averaging 5.3 ypc (6th) and totaling 100.6 rush ypg (2nd). Cook will go up against a stout Patriots run defense allowing just 89.5 ypg to opposing teams (3rd) and giving up 18.5 ppg overall (5th). Both teams are relatively healthy and the Patriots already took them down in Buffalo so I’m going to take the Patriots to win this game at home as slight home underdogs.
Best Bet: Patriots ML (+110)
Ravens @ Bengals
The Baltimore Ravens are on the outside looking at the playoff picture with 4 games remaining and are in must-win territory for the rest of their season. They have lost back to back games against AFC North rivals and will get a chance to get revenge for their week 13 loss to the Bengals. The Bengals are coming off a 39-34 shootout loss to the Bills and are still technically alive but would need a lot of help from elsewhere. Joe Burrow will be without WR Tee Higgins who is still dealing with concussion symptoms following the loss. The Bengals defense is the worst in the NFL in total yards allowed, yards per play, rush yards against and points allowed. Lamar and the Ravens will be eager to keep their season alive and should be able to pick apart a defense with massive holes so I like them to cover as road favorites.
Best Bet: Ravens -2.5 (-120)
Chargers @ Chiefs
The Chiefs dynasty has made the playoffs for a decade straight, but the reigning AFC champions have a 6-7 record with their playoff hopes in jeopardy. This will be a tough matchup as they welcome Justin Herbert and the 9-4 Chargers looking to hold on to the wild-card spot. The Chargers are coming off a MNF win against the Eagles in OT and while a win in this game wouldn’t clinch their playoff berth, knocking out their division rivals would feel almost as sweet. Their defense forced 5 turnovers in the win last week making up for Herbert’s less than stellar 139 yards passing. The Chiefs defense played well in their loss to the Texans last week, but the offense could only muster 10 points as Mahomes was held to 14 of 33 passing for 160 yards. With both offenses coming off sub-par performances and the defenses trending upwards, I like the point total to go under in this matchup.
Best Bet: Under 41.5 (-110)
Colts @ Seahawks
In one of the wildest storylines in recent memory Philip Rivers will start for the Colts in a game that has massive playoff implications. Rivers will get the nod after Daniel Jones tore his achilles last week and backup Riley Leonard injured his knee later in the game. He will be a massive underdog facing the 10-3 Seahawks in Seattle, winners of 3 in a row including a 37-9 victory versus the Falcons last Sunday. Seattle is one of the most balanced teams in the NFL scoring 29.8 ppg while allowing just 17.4 ppg both 2nd best in the NFL. The Colts will be without CB Sauce Garder, DT DeForest Buckner and OT Braden Smith have all been ruled out for the contest. While it is a great story that Rivers can come out of retirement and lead this team to a playoff appearance the reality is that the Seahawks are trending upwards while the Colts are going in the opposite direction. I like the Seahawks to win this game relatively easily covering the 2 TD spread. However I am going to target Jonathan Taylor to get over 13.5 receiving yards as Rivers checks the ball down to his best playmaker after falling behind.
Best Bet: Seahawks -13.5 (-110)
Player Prop: Jonathan Taylor Over 13.5 Rec Yds (-115)
Packers @ Broncos
The leaders of the AFC West and the NFC North square off for another tantalizing matchup this Sunday. Jordan Love and the Packers have won 4 in a row including wins over the Bears, Lions and Vikings looking to separate themselves from the rest of the NFC North. The Broncos have won 10 games in a row and are tied for the best record in the NFL with the Patriots fighting for the top seed in the AFC. The Broncos have leaned on their strong defense that ranks 4th in points allowed per game (18.1) and leads the league with 55 sacks. The Packers defense is an elite unit as well holding opponents to 19 ppg (6th) and 287.2 ypg (5th). Offensively Green Bay plays disciplined mistake free football allowing just 18 sacks and turning the ball over only 8 times this season tied for lowest in the NFL. RB Josh Jacobs practiced for the first time this week since his knee injury, but is listed as questionable for this matchup. This will be a heavyweight fight that features 2 of the best defense in the NFL, so I like the point total to go under. However, I am going to target Christian Watson to score a TD as has 5 total TD’s over his last 4 games.
Best Bet: Under 42.5 (-110)
Player Prop: Christian Watson Over 0.5 TD (+205)
Lions @ Rams
The Lions have been consistently inconsistent this year alternating a win and loss for 9 straight weeks after they took down the Cowboys 44-30 last week. This week they face the daunting task of traveling to Los Angeles for a meeting with Matthew Stafford and the Rams winners of 7 of their last 8 games. The Rams currently hold the 1 seed in the NFC and Stafford has seen his candidacy for MVP surge in recent weeks. Stafford is 3rd in the league with 249.2 pass ypg and leads the league with a 111.8 QB rating. He will be facing a banged up Lions secondary that just lost Safety Brian Branch to a torn achilles in their game against the Cowboys. Offensively the Lions have been heavily reliant on Jahmhyr Gibbs this year as he is 2nd in the league with 13 totals TD’s and ran for 3 last week. The Lions rank 1st in the league in ppg with 30.3 and the Rams aren’t far behind coming in at 4th with 29.2 ppg. I like the over in this contest with both teams capable of putting up points and the Lions secondary being especially suspect.
Best Bet: Over 54.5 (-110)
Full Card
Best Bets:
- Patriots ML (+110)
- Ravens -2.5 (-120)
- LACvsKC Under 41.5 (-110)
- Seahawks -13.5 (-110)
- GBvsDEN Under 42.5 (-110)
- LARvsDET Over 54.5 (-110)
Player Props:
- Taylor Over 13.5 Rec Yds (-115)
- Christian Watson Over 0.5 TD (+205)
The Bookie of Eli 
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